⚠️ Prototype grade (updated). Cells are now graded against a value measure fit to a reference tier list (analyst/fan consensus of how 2013–21 players actually turned out) — now position-fair, crediting scoring, even-strength defense, and award recognition — matched at ρ≈0.92, a feasibility read, not yet survey-hardened. Graded on the pick-value curve: green means the scout's rank landed closer to the player's deserved slot (from the fitted measure) than the consensus did, red means further, grey ≈ matched the field. Uses the measure alone — where it mis-rates a player, the grade will too (a survey would fix those).
This is not a report card. Every cell is one individual call — heavy with luck, shown to describe a scout's hits and misses, not to rank skill. A board full of green (or red) does not mean a good (or bad) scout: whether any public scout actually drafts better than the consensus is settled by the null on Scouting Value — where no scout is statistically distinguishable from the field, and grading against this realistic outcome doesn't change that.
Pick number down the left, draft class across the top. Each cell is shaded by whether the scout's bet against the consensus paid off — the per-call grade behind Scouting Value: how close the scout's rank landed, in pick-value, to the player's hindsight-deserved draft slot (where his NHL career says he should have gone), versus where the consensus had him. Going bolder than the field on a player who deserved it — or lower on one who busted — scores green; the reverse scores red. Recognizing a genuine star pays a premium, and the brightest green is finding a deep sleeper the field never rated who pans out (the deep cells) — though those off-board bets mostly whiff, so they mostly cost. The colour is this one call — not the scout's Score: whether anyone reliably beats the field is the null on Scouting Value, and nobody clears it — even crediting the off-board finds.
Blank = no signal to grade, not missing data: the scout matched the field (no real bet), or the player sits outside what the study grades — a goalie, pre-2013, or a class too recent to judge. A player the field left below quorum is no longer blank if this scout ranked him in their top-62 — that's a discovery call, graded against where the field buried him. Only the graded 2013–2021 cells colour; they're shown first, the rest listed plain after.
Raw career WAR — not gated, not class-relative. Each cell is shaded by how that player's NHL career turned out (wins above replacement), regardless of where they were ranked or how his draft class fared. Deeper green = bigger NHL career; deeper red = a bust. (Unlike the "vs Consensus" view, this is the plain career total, so it colours every class, not just 2013–2021.)
0 = replacement level (a fringe NHLer) · the deeper the colour, the further from average
reached the NHL, no WAR yet never reached the NHL